
I have to admit I am still disturbed by Duncan Watts' debunking of Malcolm Gladwell. It turns out that, according to Watts, not a tiny cadre of connected influencers sparks successful trends and lifts them over a "tipping point," rather it is a network effect triggered by the complex interplay of "accidental influencers." The problem is: If viral effects are accidental, so are the powers of marketers. In other words, Watts' theory renders marketers clueless and useless. But maybe not everything we thought to know about viral marketing is wrong. There are some little things that we can do, perhaps, to make the unknown known through viral means.
Closely following the presidential nominees' campaigns (and having an email from one of the contenders in my inbox every day), I have come to realize that campaigning means activating dormant social networks -- through a cause or a shared set of values and beliefs. In fact, activating dormant social networks is the foremost task at hand for today's marketers (of products, services, causes, or political programs), as we face the daunting challenge of connecting with fragmented audiences that are increasingly split into billions of social atoms populating myriad micro-networks.
The small world is indeed much smaller than we think it is. While social networking has visualized the alleged "six degrees of separation," all online communications essentially have a social component and can be seen as expressions of the underlying social micro-verses, "the worlds within worlds," in which, shifting time and place, individuals can travel and interact online. Unlike Facebook et al, however, they are not externalized and not visible, at least not at first sight.
Let's therefore apply the term "social networks" in a much broader way, not only encompassing the traditional social networking sites (Facebook, MySpace, LinkedIn, etc.) but also all those online hubs where users collaborate to create and distribute content to the effect of any exchange (of opinions, goods, or services). Blogs, connecting author and reader and establishing a forum for conversation threads, are in essence latent social networks as much as wikis are or eBay and Email. Once their underlying social graph is activated by distributed content, they very much resemble the structure and attributes of what we commonly consider to be online social networks.
Moreover, we all form our own little social networks: our address book is our Facebook, so to speak. David Armano calls this the "social solar system:" "When we think about social networks we tend to focus on the connecting nodes. The links that bind us and what makes a network a network. But the less frequently told story is the one where we spend countless hours building and maintaining our own little 'social solar systems.' In these 'social systems' we have multiple planetary ecosystems revolving around us." Frequently, our own social systems will overlap with the social networking sites we populate as well as the social networks we create through our online activities; they may even be fully congruent in some instances. The larger one's digital footprint, the more likely all these networks match up, and the easier it is for marketers to connect with the target individual.
But how exactly do you consolidate all these micro-verses? Viral content is the catalyst. As we do with "online social networks," we tend to use the term "viral" solely for those stories whose exponential and explosive growth is visible. It is worth pointing out though that all online content -- tweets, blog posts, comments, presentations, videos, etc. -- is inherently viral. Not only does the Internet consist of a huge number of dormant social networks, it also houses a vast array of dormant viral content.
The marketer's job is to connect the two: networks and content. Or better: Our job is to connect members of dormant networks through content, creating and distributing the type of content apt to trigger the desired network effect. If that occurs, content is passed from one individual to the next, though a cascade of networked viral distribution: partly through formalized online social networks (Facebook etc.), partly through activated dormant networks of existing online populations, and partly by individuals who establish new networks within their own "social solar systems."
Facebook's Beacon was a failed but bold and utopian attempt in this regard. It sought to visualize (that is, materialize and commercialize) the implicit social patterns within the dormant network comprised of Facebook shoppers, with purchase information as the content catalyst for activation. Other, less controversial attempts include DiSo's quest to turn the blog platform WordPress into an active social network, or considerations to flip email services into social networks, as Yahoo tried with Mash and Google with is Reader.
All of these examples illustrate the opportunity for marketers. If you want to get the message out to fragmented micro-audiences, ask yourself the following four questions:
1. Which online social networks (Facebook, MySpace, LinkedIn, etc.) does your target user (audience) inhabit?
2. Which dormant social networks does your target user (audience) inhabit?
3. Which one of those dormant social networks can you best activate?
4. Which content can you utilize to activate it?
If you follow these steps, it doesn't matter if Watts proves Gladwell wrong. Yes, influencers may have more muscle to spread content within their networks and thus accelerate a viral effect, and yes, targeting them alone may not be enough. For the activators of dormant social networks, however, the most important aspect is systemic: it's not about dotting the connectors; it's about connecting the dots -- through content.